Mortgage rate 6.22% | Med. list price $415,000 | Housing costs $15,979/year | Rent $1,696/month |
| Sources: Freddie Mac, Realtor.com, Zillow, Thumbtack | - Mortgage rates rose to 6.22% this week from 6.19% last week for a 30-year fixed-rate home loan, according to Freddie Mac. At this time last year, rates were at 6.60%.
- Listing prices fell 0.4% year over year to a median of $415,000 in November, down 2.2% from October, according to Realtor.com.
- Housing costs jumped to $15,979 annually for taxes, insurance, and maintenance, according to analysis by Zillow and Thumbtack.
- Rents slipped 1.7% annually to a median of $1,696 in October, down $9 from September, according to Realtor.com. This marks not only the third month straight of seasonal softening, but also the 27th consecutive year-over-year decline since rents peaked back in August 2022.
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THE BIG STORY âBaby, itâs cold outsideâ nails 2025âs real estate vibes, when steep home prices and mortgage rates froze the market solid. But what about next year? A flurry of housing forecasts all claim to have a crystal ball into whatâs aheadâand because we think that they all have something to offer, weâve rolled them into a turducken-style summary that satisfies everything youâve been wondering about and hoping for in 2026. Mortgage rates: Rates are predicted to drift downward next year, with the 30-year fixed loan averaging around 6.3%, according to both Redfin and Realtor.com. However, Zillow predicts this number wonât fall below 6%. Home prices: Nationally, prices are expected to inch up 1%â4%. But when combined with lower mortgage rates, monthly housing payments are expected to shrink by 1.3%âthe first annual drop since 2020, per Realtor.com. And once you factor in rising incomes and easing inflation, the typical housing payment could finally slip back into âaffordableâ territory (below the â30% of your gross monthly incomeâ threshold) for the first time since 2022. Home sales: Although listings sat on the market in 2025, lower housing costs could entice more buyers to make offers next year. Sales of existing homes are expected to soar 14% in 2026, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Rent: Housing economists are split on this: Redfin predicts rents will rise 2%â3% due to constrained apartment construction, while Realtor.com forecasts a modest 1% decline, especially in the South and West. Meanwhile, Zillow anticipates that, although apartment rents will become more affordable, rents for single-family homes will climb by 2.3%. Bottom line: The new year rings in a market thatâs shaping up to be more affordable and more active. To learn more, check out the full forecasts from Zillow, Realtor.com, Redfin, and the NAR. | | |
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Presented By Wine.com âŠBecause, well, it is . With Wine.comâs new self-serve corporate gifting tool, you can bulk-order gifts all in one place. Browse through top-quality, curated wines and gift baskets to impress clients, celebrate colleagues, or just share some pretty great wine. Itâs as easy as one, two, three, clink: Bulk-upload addresses, preselect products, and schedule deliveries. And you won't need physical addresses. Just upload emails to Wine.com, and the recipient will do the rest. With near nationwide shipping, you can send gifts seamlessly across state lines to tons of recipients. Cheers to mastering gifting, just in time for the holidays. |
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WHATâS UP THIS WEEK Selling at a loss? Youâve got company. Investors are having difficulty offloading property for a profit. Redfin found that although the typical real estate investor earned $182,688 on a sale, about 8% of homes in Q3 sold for less than their purchase price, the highest level in over two years. Find out where investors are buyingâand bailing. The top housing markets are on the move. Realtor.comâs latest rankings show a major reshuffle ahead. In 2025, the strongest markets were mainly in the South and West; in 2026, the spotlight moves to the Northeast and Midwest. Leading the pack: Hartford, CT; Rochester, NY; and Worcester, MA. See the whole list here. Will slow-but-steady REITs win in 2026? Although everyone was chasing tech investments in 2025, next yearâs runaway success may be REITs. Hereâs why theyâre poised to outperform. City vs. suburb: Where should cheapskates live? Although many assume residing in the burbs saves money, GOBankingRates found 15 metros with a lower cost of living than their surrounding areas. Youâll never guess where they are. Can you spot a genuine antique? Test your skills by sizing up these photos. Next yearâs âit colorâ: Not sure which paint hue to pick for your house? Consider Pantoneâs top color for 2026: Itâs called Cloud Dancer, and itâs not really a color (at least in the traditional sense). Where vacation homes will fill up: Airbnb says 65% of its top-searched cities and travel dates for 2026 align directly with major âevent tourismâ draws like Coachella, the Winter Olympics, and the FIFA World Cup. Searches for places ânear a national parkâ also jumped 35% in the US, thanks to the nationâs 250th anniversary and big birthdays for iconic parks including the Great Smoky Mountains, Grand Teton, and Shenandoah (photo below). Check out other short-term rental predictions. Courtesy Airbnb Community |
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Together With Wine.com Propose a toast. Clink clink. Cheers to gifting made easyâboth corporate and personalâthanks to Wine.com. Just bulk-upload addresses, preselect products, and schedule deliveries. With near nationwide shipping, you can send gifts seamlessly to your lucky giftees. Just upload emails to Wine.com, and the recipient will fill out the rest. |
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REAL TALK The house Donald Trump lived in until age 4 is back on the market after some inglorious ups and downs. Built by Trumpâs father, the Tudor in the Jamaica Estates neighborhood of Queens, NY, served a brief stint as an $800-per-night Airbnb (with a cardboard cutout of POTUS), then devolved into a vacant hovel for feral cats. But things are looking up: In March, developer Tommy Lin purchased the rundown property for $835,000, undertook a gut renovation, and listed it for $2.3 million. We got listing agent Jevon Gratineau of Brown Harris Stevens to spill details. Q: How did you end up as the listing agent? âIâve worked with the developer on other projects, so I already had a foot in the door. This is our brainchild, a collaboration I was involved in from the start back in March.â Q: What was this property like when you first saw it? âThe house was in disrepair. Cats all over the place, lawn overgrown, uninhabitable.â Q: What did you decide to do with the place? âWith an opportunity like this, you do it right or not at all. The neighborhood had supply, but nothing âwow.â We wanted to do wow, so we laid out a plan: Make the inside modern, updated, but not over the top. The chandeliers were too dated, so those went.â Q: Did you preserve any original details as a nod to Trumpâs time there? âWe kept the outside classic Tudor style. We also kept the original wood-burning fireplace, and saved another original wood-burning oven from the sunroom.â Q: Whatâs been the response from buyers? âThe first thing they say is, âPresident Trump lived here, huh?â Then they get over it and start asking how it fits their family. Weâve had steady traffic and hope to be under contract soon.â Q: Do you think the house will sell for a premium because the president lived here? âI donât know. Michael Jordanâs house sat for years, so itâs hard to say. We just focused on giving buyers more than theyâd get elsewhere in the neighborhood.â Click here to see more photos of this makeover. | | |
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YOU ASKED, WE ANSWER The Federal Reserve announced its third rate cut of the year this week, lowering the benchmark borrowing rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.50%â3.75%. This has many wondering hoping praying that mortgage rates will finally follow. But most experts say thereâs no guarantee. âThe Fed cutting [rates] doesnât mean mortgage rates are going to come down,â says Melissa Cohn, a regional vice president of William Raveis Mortgage and a 43-year mortgage industry veteran. For one, markets had already anticipated the cut and priced it in, which explains why, during the last two cuts in September and October, mortgage rates dipped before the Fedâs announcements and then ticked up slightly afterward. Also worth paying attention to are Fed Chair Jerome Powellâs remarks. His tone âwill drive rates one way or the other,â says Cohn. Although Powell said Wednesday that âactivity in the housing sector remains weak,â the Fedâs top priorities remain the dual mandates of labor and inflation. Lagging data from the government shutdown continues to keep forecasts murky, however; as of now, just one additional Fed rate cut seems in the cards next year. Bottom line: Donât wait for a Fed rate cut to rescue you with lower rates, especially when there are plenty of ways to snag a lower rate on your own. Got a question about real estate? Share it here, and weâll answer it in a future issue. |
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QUIZ This weekâs showdown is between properties where trees are the main selling point. But do Christmas trees or those growing walnuts command a higher premium? Try to guess which parcel costs more, then find out the correct answer below. Listing #1: 40-acre Christmas tree farm in Reno, NV Silver Valley Farm boasts 15 acres of Colorado Spruces, sure to attract a steady stream of yuletide revelers eager to chop down their own evergreen. And thatâs not the only holiday fun thatâs been had here; in the past, the farm has also flourished as a Halloween pumpkin patch. Although thereâs no house on the property, one can be built since the areaâs zoned for residential and agriculture, or you can try converting its 6,000-square-foot shop building into your own barndominium. California Outdoor Properties Listing #2: 236.67-acre walnut orchard in Grimes, CA Just an hour north of Sacramento, Grand Island Orchard features 180 acres of walnut trees, as well as a 2,461-square-foot main house with a pool and two additional homes used as an office and storage. California Outdoor Properties |
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ANSWER Listing #1 costs $1,495,000. But Listing #2 costs more at $4,200,000. Blame it on the extra acreage and houses⊠or the simple fact that Christmas trees are a tough business where your product is constantly facing the hatchet. Walnut trees, on the other hand, can live for over a century and generate about $4,000 per acre per year. We guess it depends on your priorities: drumming up profits or spreading holiday cheer? |
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